Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.000260 0.000291 0.000324 0.000361 0.000403 0.000448 0.000500
2025-05-18 0.000212 0.000253 0.000299 0.000355 0.000421 0.000497 0.000590
2025-05-25 0.000182 0.000229 0.000285 0.000357 0.000446 0.000554 0.000693
2025-06-01 0.000156 0.000206 0.000268 0.000352 0.000461 0.000599 0.000784
2025-06-08 0.000136 0.000188 0.000256 0.000350 0.000478 0.000646 0.000882
2025-06-15 0.000122 0.000175 0.000247 0.000351 0.000498 0.000696 0.000986
2025-06-22 0.000109 0.000162 0.000237 0.000348 0.000511 0.000739 0.001082
2025-06-29 0.000100 0.000154 0.000232 0.000353 0.000535 0.000798 0.001204
2025-07-06 0.000092 0.000146 0.000227 0.000355 0.000554 0.000849 0.001320
2025-07-13 0.000083 0.000137 0.000218 0.000352 0.000565 0.000889 0.001419
2025-07-20 0.000079 0.000133 0.000218 0.000361 0.000595 0.000959 0.001571
2025-07-27 0.000073 0.000127 0.000215 0.000365 0.000615 0.001016 0.001704
2025-08-03 0.000068 0.000122 0.000211 0.000368 0.000637 0.001077 0.001852
2025-08-10 0.000063 0.000115 0.000204 0.000365 0.000647 0.001121 0.001974
2025-08-17 0.000059 0.000111 0.000201 0.000368 0.000670 0.001187 0.002138
2025-08-24 0.000054 0.000104 0.000194 0.000365 0.000679 0.001230 0.002265
2025-08-31 0.000050 0.000099 0.000189 0.000364 0.000692 0.001281 0.002411
2025-09-07 0.000047 0.000095 0.000186 0.000365 0.000709 0.001339 0.002574
2025-09-14 0.000044 0.000090 0.000180 0.000362 0.000719 0.001385 0.002715
2025-09-21 0.000041 0.000088 0.000179 0.000368 0.000745 0.001462 0.002921
2025-09-28 0.000039 0.000085 0.000176 0.000370 0.000764 0.001527 0.003109
2025-10-05 0.000036 0.000081 0.000171 0.000366 0.000772 0.001571 0.003258
2025-10-12 0.000035 0.000080 0.000173 0.000376 0.000807 0.001671 0.003525